It is shown that ecological processes prediction in human environment, especially the anticipation of situations threatening ecological catastrophe, is of practical importance for the humanity should have enough time left to find means of global health restoration. The authors take that as point of departure and develop simplest forecasting models: define necessary terms of reference and select mathematical tool, then illustrate models application on simplest examples. In the authors’ opinion, because mathematical (analytical) models don’t require mass statistical evidence of observed processes they can be applied by wide public wishing to control environment protection system work efficiency, i.e. to implement some elements of our planet’s biofeedback.
Keywords: ecosystem; ecological problem; hazardous substances concentration; mathematic forecast model.
References
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